Everything Starts at the Seams

Every election season, I like to look back, and think about where I did good, where I did bad, how many people I got to meet, and leave a positive impression with, and how many new enemies I have created.

I would say that this year is probably one of the busiest thus far, and really all over the map.

I was an early supporter of Joe Mallahan, which really wasn't a big deal...until he and Tubby McGinn got through the primary. Then, the shit went crazy.

I was an early supporter of Sally Bagshaw, only to become overly impressed with Dorsol Plants. A part of me was glad he didn't get through the primary, because I think Sally is awesome, and I think that he is the future of this city.

I was an early supporter of Jessie Israel, and then, after watching her campaign get slaughtered by its management, became a tepid supporter, at best.

And I was an early supporter of Pete Holmes, and held what was likely the worst attended fundraiser for his entire campaign. Only two people who said they'd show actually came. Lame.

Then there was position 8. I voted for Jordan Royer in the primary, and that didn't go too far. Left with two choices, I quickly moved to Robert Rosencrantz, was told he was pro-life, donated to Mike O'Brien, looked more closely at Robert's choice stance, confronted him on it, received an answer that clearly put him in the pro-choice camp, and then became extra angry at the lies being spewed about him. What was originally a boring race between two overly-nice guys has become, arguably, the nastiest race this season (next to City Attorney).

Now it's almost over. Six days, and this year's race will be done. I still stand by all of my previously made endorsements.

But how will everything throw down? I will attempt to predict! Please note, these are just predictions based on polls, campaign financing, anectdotal evidence, and signs around the city, as well as the amount of advertising, and effectiveness of that advertising.

Statewide Measures

R-71 - Approved! by at least 53%

I-1033 - NO! by at least 50.01%

Countywide Races

Dow Constantine - 49%, Susan Hutchison - 51%

Rob Holland - 56%, David Doud - 43%

Max Vekich - 51%, Tom Albro - 49%

John Creighton - 70%, Write-In - 29%, Stalkers - 1%

Seattle School Board

Michael DeBell - 96%, Write-In - 4%

Kay Smith-Blum - 53%, Mary Bass - 45%

Wilson Chin vs. Betty Patu - No Idea (I support Wilson, for what it's worth)

Seattle City Attorney

Pete Holmes - 52%, Tom Carr - 48%

Seattle Mayor

Joe Mallahan - 53%, Mike McGinn - 40%, Write-In - 13%

Seattle City Council

Richard Conlin - 65%, David Ginsberg - 35%

Sally Bagshaw - 63%, David Bloom - 37%

Nick Licata - 57%, Jessie Israel - 43%

Robert Rosencrantz vs. Mike O'Brien - I have no idea (but I think it will be close)

Housing Levy - Yes - 68%